it begins....again...

So, here we go again. Attentive and not-so-attentive readers alike may have noticed I haven't been posting here lately. I blame the reading of books, a deliberate choice to spend less time online, and the fact that my  response to most things Republicans now say in public has been moderate to copious nausea. It's hard to form cogent counterarguments with that little bit of vomit in the back of your mouth.

Yuck.

Also, since I've been away, Blogger has changed it's interface and I have no idea if this post will actually appear anywhere. Or in what format. It's crazy. I hate it when the interfaces to free internet services change slightly. I'm mildly outraged. Mildly, I say!

To tide you over, until the true crazy begins, check out (as usual) electoral-vote.com for the skinny. There's politics and math--what fun! Remember, most pundits have no idea what they're talking about (e.g. 'Clinton/Giuliani 2008'). The electoral-vote.com guy is different. Because of the power of math!

My prediction: both candidates will come out in support of Good Things and in opposition to Bad Things. Definitions of 'Good' and 'Bad' may differ slightly. Rank hypocrisy will blend with heartbreaking compromises and furious debate into a knock down, drag out Democracy Superbowl, which I will follow with borderline obsessiveness, in order to distract myself from my growing suspicion that the results will be determined predominantly by economic factors, and that all the talk that makes up the Democracy Superbowl is about as relevant to the final outcome as the Halftime Show.

Too pessimistic? I'd throw in some jokes later. Promise!





that slope already slipped

This post is regarding the recent passage of Levin-McCain detention bill as part of the 2012 National Defense Authorization Act. It's a continuation of a conversation started on Facebook. I wanted to respond in more detail than a comment on a status update would allow.

The most controversial aspect of the new legislation is that authorizes "the U.S. military to pick up and imprison without charge or trial civilians, including American citizens, anywhere in the world" (This quote and the others used in this post are all taken from Greenwald's analysis here, unless otherwise noted.) As Greenwald notes in his first point regarding the myths surrounding this bill, this is not new:

... because first the Bush administration and now the Obama administration have aggressively argued that the original 2001 AUMF already empowers them to imprison people without charges, use force against even U.S. citizens without due process (Anwar Awlaki), and target not only members of Al Qaeda and the Taliban (as the law states) but also anyone who “substantially supports” those groups and/or “associated forces” (whatever those terms mean). That’s why this bill states that it does not intend to change the 2001 AUMF (even as it codifies far broader language defining the scope of the war) or the detention powers of the President, and it’s why they purposely made the bill vague on whether it expressly authorizes military detention of U.S. citizens on U.S. soil: it’s because the bill’s proponents and the White House both believe that the President already possesses these broadened powers with or without this bill

Of course, when Greenwald says that the bills proponents believe they have the powers outlined in this bill, he's speaking in a de jure sense; that is, as a matter of law, they believe they have the power (as in 'legitimate authority') to subvert or ignore due process. In a de facto sense, of course, they have the power (as in 'ability') to do this because they've already been doing it, for as long as the Guantanamo Bay detention facility (et al) has existed. This latest outrage is the same as the old outrage.

Some have suggested that this is new insofar as it allows for the indefinite detention of US citizens without due process. But this isn't new either. This is because of the nature of due process (specifically in terms of habeas corpus). Any rights an individual may have (in this context), regardless of his or her actions, affiliations or citizenship, are contingent upon his or her ability to assert and argue for those rights in court. If you are a prisoner held without due process, it doesn't matter who you are or what they do to you--you have no rights, only whatever privileges your captors deign to grant you. The right to due process is a sort of gateway right through which any other rights must pass, in order to be rights at all. Once that gate is closed, a person on the other side is in principle no different than a kidnapping victim or hostage.

Also, once the right to due process is refused to some (even 'Just the Scary People'), it's refused to all. That's because without some kind of impartial review to determine who's scary and who's not, that distinction is based not in law but merely at the discretion of those in power. In this instance, US citizens have been subject to indefinite detention without trial for many years already because, once due process was set aside for the Very Scary People, there been no way for a US citizen to challenge the legitimacy of his or her detention, to argue that he or she wasn't Scary. Without due process, the only thing that keeps any one person out of Guantanamo Bay--regardless of citizenship--is not a law or a right, but the fact that no one in power feels like putting you there.

When it comes to the Eternal War on Terrorism, the rule of law was discarded years ago. You can see this in for example the completely arbitrary way various cases have been handled over the years. John Walker Lindh (an American citizen) was tried and convicted. The Tipton Three (British citizens) were held for two years then released at the behest of the British government. The decisions on who has been released and who has been kept, who gets a trial and who gets thrown down the metaphorical hole, have been matters of diplomacy and public relations, never law.

This latest affront on civil liberties is nothing new. It's not one further slide down a slippery slope. In terms of the law, as a matter of principle, we're already at the bottom of the hill. Due process is not something you whittle away at, bit by bit, over time. As a society, you've either got it or you don't. It's not something you can take away from 'just the Bad People', because it's the way you determine who's Bad and who's not. For us to return to the rule of law, we would need to understand what the right to due process really means, not just for those in Guantanamo Bay, but for everyone. However, as long as the American right continues to be able to appeal to ignorance and fear, to squeal that supporting the rule law is tantamount to supporting terrorism, then there will be no political will, among either Republicans or Democrats, to do anything about it. The 2012 National Defense Authorization Act is not a new problem, just a reminder of an old one.

frontrunner!

Herman Cain found out how tricky being in the national spotlight is on Sunday as he was pushed to admit that his signature economic plan, 9-9-9, would result in increased taxes for some people.
No, really. A national sales tax is regressive, since the poorer you are, the greater percentage of your income is spent each month. A 'wage tax' notably excludes capital gains and other 'ownership' derived incomes. And a 9% corporate tax rate is just a huge tax cut (about -75%) for the persons who need it the least. Cain's 9-9-9 is a transparent attempt to shift the tax burden onto the working and middle classes; I have no idea how anyone could be confused about this.

The Republican presidential candidate also sought to back away from fiery comments he had made just hours earlier, saying he was only joking about killing people trying to cross the border from Mexico with an electrified fence. And he said that the American people need to “get a sense of humor.”
I think a 9% corporate tax rate is pretty hysterical. But maybe that's not the joke?

Beyond that, Mr. Cain acknowledged that he was unfamiliar with the neoconservative movement, and was not exactly sure what the word “neoconservative” meant.
But I'm sure he knows what 'regressive' means, right?

All this was in the space of a 20-minute interview with David Gregory on NBC’s “Meet the Press.”
Of course, no amount of stupidity excludes you from being a Republican candidate for President, as long as you've got the minimum necessary levels of callousness (e.g. more taxes for poor people) and sadism (e.g. electrocuted immigrant jokes).

UPDATE: This graph outlines exactly how regressive 9-9-9 is. Basically, everyone making less than 200K+ a year would get a tax hike. And if you make more than million, you get a huge tax cut.

centrist president

"We have a crisis in which the right is making insane demands, while the president and Democrats in Congress are bending over backward to be accommodating -- offering plans that are all spending cuts and no taxes, plans that are far to the right of public opinion."

"So what do most news reports say? They portray it as a situation in which both sides are equally partisan, equally intransigent -- because news reports always do that. And we have influential pundits calling out for a new centrist party, a new centrist president, to get us away from the evils of partisanship. The reality, of course, is that we already have a centrist president -- actually a moderate conservative president."
--Paul Krugman, via Political Wire

When dealing with an unreasonable opponent, there's a certain point where continuing to act reasonably is no longer rational. The current Republican Party is an insane, knife wielding maniac holding the global economy hostage to self-contradictory demands. (They raised the debt ceiling about 6 times under Bush.) Continuing to compromise, bargain, negotiate or try empathize with such lunacy is pointless. They need to be defeated politically (e.g. a veto, 14th Amendment solution, etc.), not philosophically.

'you're all individuals, i'm not'

BoingBoing

"Reconstituting the Submerged State: The Challenges of Social Policy Reform in the Obama Era," a paper by Cornell's Clinton Rossiter Professor of American Institutions Suzanne Mettler features this remarkable chart [here] showing that about half of American social program beneficiaries believe that they "have not used a government social program." It's the "Keep your government hands off my Medicare" phenomena writ large: a society of people who subsist on mutual aid and redistributive policies who've been conned (and conned themselves) into thinking that they are rugged individualists and that everyone else is a parasite.
For some reason, this reminds me of Monty Python's The Life of Brian, when Brian announces to the crowd 'You're all individuals' and one guy pipes in 'I'm not'. Except backward, I guess.

I suppose it also might be the case that (slightly) less stupid people with this particular ideological bent would have an argument for why the programs they themselves benefit from are OK and why the programs other people benefit from are commie tyranny. I'm not sure what that argument would be, though, if not a post facto rationalization of their own immediate self interest (i.e., not a principle at all).

the truth is a lie?

Political Wire

"So let me say on the record, any ad which quotes what I said on Sunday is a falsehood."-- Newt Gingrich, in an interview on Fox News, backing away from comments that Rep. Paul Ryan's (R-WI) budget plan was "right wing social engineering."
This line makes the philosophical part of my brain quite dizzy. The political part is laughing itself silly, though.

"still wrong, still stupid..."

Here's Lithwick on whether torture lead to finding bin Laden, and what that should mean for US policy. I recommend the whole article (and it's short), but here's a representatively good passage:

And here's the genius part: In support of personal policy preferences, facts are wholly optional. Lack of facts can also be highly probative. For example: Khalid Sheikh Mohammed, who was water-boarded 183 times in 2003, lied about knowing Bin Laden's courier, as did Abu Faraj al-Libi, who was interrogated in 2005. They offered no useful information. Yet torture advocates now say that because both men denied knowing the courier—thus tipping off the CIA that he must be someone important—torture must work. Got it? Torture works when the prisoners disclose information, but it also works when they don't. It's win-win!

The fact that we have swamped a debate about the killing of Osama Bin Laden with a distraction over torture is another national embarrassment. Why aren't we debating the efficacy of any of the other intelligence-gathering or surveillance methods that also contributed to the success of the hunt for bin Laden? We are being conned yet again, and allowing ourselves to be conned again, by a handful of people who want to justify their own crimes. Remember all those debates about the need to be allowed to torture in "ticking time bomb" scenarios? We are now having a discussion about an alleged ticking time bomb that took eight years to blow—if it blew at all.

There is just one question about America and torture: whether we should do it. The answer to that, after hundreds of years of legal thinking and moral progress, not just in America but around the world, is no. It's bad for those asked to torture, and it's bad for our soldiers who will be tortured by others. A bunch of Bush officials secretly changed that answer for a time, based on misapprehensions of its efficacy, but for serious interrogators, ethical thinkers, and lawyers, the answer has always been no.
What she said.